ONGOING PROJECTS
Climate Change and Ecological Impacts
Stakeholders' use of marine spaces under a changing climate: The case of the Black Sea
Elena Lloret-Lloret
Post-doc
Changes in climate are affecting the marine ecosystems worldwide. However, these changes are spatially unevenly distributed. Our objective here is to explore the overlap of the use of marine spaces by different stakeholders (i.e. different fleets and MPAs) with the spatial distribution of extreme temperatures and the areas most affected by the current changing climate; focusing on the Black Sea. For that aim, we will perform analyses of climate velocity and extreme temperatures. This type of exploration can integrate multiple stressors and help identify vulnerability hotspots as well as refugia. For the climate velocity, long-term temporal trends in SST (°C/year) will be calculated as linear regression slopes of monthly temperature against time, with a spatial resolution. For the extreme temperature events (Marine heatwaves, MHW), we identified, at spatial scale, temperatures warmer than the 90th percentile based on a 30-year historical baseline period, that last more than five consecutive days. Then we will overlay protected areas and areas used by the different fleets to identify those areas where stakeholders are being the most affected by changes in climate. This will help to assess the impacts for different users and help to inform the management of the protected areas, as well as to identify potential areas that might need further protection.
Assessing the effectiveness of marine protected areas in protecting marine biodiversity from climate change
Brunno Freire Oliveira
Part time Post-doc
Species are shifting globally from climate change. Biodiversity is the foundation of life on Earth. It provides essential ecological support and services for human survival and development. MPAs have been established to conserve the biodiversity and ecosystem of oceans. MPAs have been confirmed as an effective tool to protect marine biodiversity. However, whereas MPAs will be effective in conversing marine biodiversity into the future from climate change is remains largely unexplored.
Connectivity of Marine Protected Areas based on Species Distribution Modelling. A case study for tuna species
Sorin Constantin
Researcher
Serban Ioan Daniel
Researcher